Guaraní A. Franco vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 0
GAF
19%
28%
52%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 2
SOL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
CFE
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
GAF
25%
30%
45%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
SAR
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 1
CFE
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 2
SPA
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 0
GAF
25%
30%
45%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CFE
0 - 2
SPA
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |