Guaraní A. Franco vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
GAF
27%
30%
44%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
3 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
CFE
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
GAF
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
SAR
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
SPA
0 - 0
CFE
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 0
SPA
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 0
GAF
31%
30%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
CFE
2 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |