Guaraní A. Franco vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TAL
3 - 1
GAF
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 1
CEN
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SJO
1 - 0
GAF
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GAF
2 - 1
TFE
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
GAF
64%
22%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 0
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CCS
2 - 0
SPB
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 1
JAN
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 0
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAA
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |