Guaraní A. Franco vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 0
GIM
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 1
GAF
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GAF
3 - 1
CEN
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
CCS
4 - 0
GAF
47%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 1
SJO
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 1
JUV
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 2
SMA
43%
29%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SMA
1 - 1
CCS
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
SJO
0 - 0
SMA
36%
31%
33%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 1
CFE
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |