Guaraní A. Franco vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
CAA
2 - 1
GAF
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 0
GYT
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SPB
1 - 1
GAF
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GAF
2 - 0
TAL
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
GAF
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
3 - 0
RAC
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
CCS
1 - 1
SMA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 1
JAN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
CAA
2 - 0
SMA
25%
30%
45%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
SMA
2 - 2
GYT
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |