Torneo Federal A PlayOffs Final
Global 2-2
Guaraní A. Franco vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
JUU
2 - 1
GAF
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
TFE
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TFE
1 - 2
GAF
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GAF
4 - 0
JUV
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
GAF
50%
24%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
JUU
2 - 1
GAF
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
JUU
31%
25%
43%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
JUU
2 - 1
CAI
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 1
JUU
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 0
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |