Guaraní A. Franco vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 0
GAF
56%
26%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
3 - 1
DHA
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
GAF
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
2 - 0
SMA
22%
27%
52%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
GAF
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
INS
3 - 2
ALD
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
INS
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
INS
2 - 2
GIM
49%
28%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
1 - 2
INS
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
INS
0 - 1
DHA
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |