Guaraní A. Franco vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GBR
2 - 0
GAF
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 2
ATT
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DAL
1 - 0
GAF
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
CCS
1 - 2
GAF
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
INS
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
INS
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
INS
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
INS
16%
26%
58%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
GBR
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |