Guaraní A. Franco vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
GAF
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
CFE
1 - 0
GAF
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 2
SPA
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
GAF
27%
30%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
3 - 1
SOL
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SOL
3 - 0
GIM
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 0
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
DPR
0 - 1
GIM
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SLP
4 - 1
GIM
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |