Guaraní A. Franco vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
GAF
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GAF
0 - 0
ARG
23%
29%
48%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
COL
4 - 1
GAF
71%
20%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GAF
0 - 0
ALD
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 1
GAF
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
ALD
35%
31%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
FER
38%
29%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
GIM
35%
33%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
BUC
33%
30%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |