Guaraní A. Franco vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
VEL
4 - 2
GAF
87%
9%
5%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
GAF
1 - 3
CCS
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
GAF
2 - 1
DOA
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
GAF
1 - 1
RAC
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
GAF
2 - 2
SMA
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
CCS
2 - 2
EST
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1971 |
SMA
1 - 0
EST
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
EST
5 - 1
GLP
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
EST
4 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
COL
3 - 5
EST
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |