Guaraní A. Franco vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
INS
0 - 1
GAF
65%
22%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GAF
2 - 1
GBR
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ATT
3 - 0
GAF
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
DAL
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
BOC
4 - 0
GAF
85%
12%
4%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 1
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
INS
3 - 2
RSA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 4
GBR
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ATT
2 - 1
RSA
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |