Guaraní A. Franco vs Colón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
53.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALD
2 - 0
GAF
61%
23%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
GAF
0 - 1
CHI
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
GIM
2 - 1
GAF
59%
25%
16%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
GAF
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GAF
2 - 1
BUC
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Colón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
COL
2 - 0
ALD
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 0
COL
28%
29%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
GIM
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
INS
0 - 3
COL
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
COL
34%
29%
36%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |