Guaraní A. Franco vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
GYT
1 - 0
GAF
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
2 - 4
SPB
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TAL
3 - 1
GAF
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GAF
1 - 1
CEN
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SJO
1 - 0
GAF
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 0
RAC
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CCS
1 - 1
CAA
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 1
JAN
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 1
CAA
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAA
0 - 1
GYT
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |