Guantánamo vs FC La Habana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
4º
4º
17
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 0
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOL
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 4
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
LAS
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC La Habana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 0
FCL
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCL
3 - 0
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
4 - 0
ISL
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 1
FCL
32%
27%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |