Guangzhou City vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 5
SHA
26%
24%
51%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 3
GUA
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DAL
0 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 2
JIA
18%
21%
61%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
JIA
1 - 1
SHE
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
SHE
3 - 2
DAL
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 0
SHE
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
SHE
1 - 2
HEN
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
SHE
1 - 3
GUA
12%
18%
71%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |