Guangzhou City vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
QIN
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
DAL
2 - 1
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
GUA
5 - 1
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
HEN
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
HBF
1 - 0
GUA
19%
21%
61%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
YAN
1 - 0
HBF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAN
2 - 0
HBF
83%
13%
5%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
HBF
1 - 1
JIA
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
TIB
1 - 1
HBF
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |