Guangzhou City vs Hebei FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 2
GUA
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 6
TIA
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
GUA
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 3
BEI
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
JIA
3 - 1
HEB
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HEB
3 - 2
DAL
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CHO
4 - 4
HEB
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HEB
0 - 3
GUA
20%
23%
58%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
HEB
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |