Guangzhou City vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
HEN
1 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 3
SHA
23%
22%
54%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
SHI
0 - 2
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 1
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 2
QIN
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
CBC
0 - 2
ANH
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
SCA
0 - 0
CBC
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CBC
2 - 1
SJF
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BIT
0 - 2
CBC
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
ANH
2 - 1
CBC
26%
29%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |