Guangzhou City vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
XIA
0 - 0
GUA
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 0
SHE
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
WUH
0 - 0
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
HEN
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
SHA
2 - 0
GUA
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ADE
0 - 0
CHA
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
BIN
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 4
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CHA
4 - 0
WUH
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
HEN
3 - 2
CHA
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |