Guangzhou FC vs Yanbian Longding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
13º
3º
31
6º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 2
GUA
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
JIA
75%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
GFC
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
QFC
1 - 1
GUA
16%
22%
62%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
DAL
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
YAN
0 - 0
QFC
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 2
YAN
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
YAN
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
YAN
1 - 3
YUN
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 1
YAN
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |