AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Guangzhou FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
WES
1 - 0
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
TIT
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 2
GUA
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 0
JIA
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
GUA
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
WES
1 - 0
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
WES
7%
15%
78%
|
74 | 20 | 54 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
WES
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
WES
70%
17%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
WES
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |