Guangzhou FC vs Suzhou Dongwu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
13º
2º
37
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 62 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 53 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 50 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 45 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 38 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 33 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 32 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 32 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 31 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
80% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
35.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
WWF
1 - 4
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
DUF
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Suzhou Dongwu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 1
NAN
34%
29%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
SDO
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 2
SHE
42%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DUF
1 - 1
SDO
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SDO
2 - 0
WWF
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |