Guangzhou FC vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
LIA
1 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
QIN
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 7
RMA
16%
21%
63%
|
77 | 95 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 1
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
5 - 0
SHA
78%
14%
7%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 0
HAN
35%
28%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
JIA
3 - 0
SHE
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 0
SHA
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
SHE
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 2
TIT
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |