Guangzhou FC vs Liaoning Tieren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
13º
7º
14
11º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 50 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 46 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 45 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 36 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 33 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 31 |
14º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
51% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 5
GUA
18%
21%
60%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 4
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SHU
1 - 1
GUA
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
QFC
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DAL
0 - 1
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liaoning Tieren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 2
QFC
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 0
WWF
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SSP
2 - 2
SHE
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ANH
2 - 0
SHE
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 2
HKF
24%
27%
50%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |