Guangzhou FC vs Liaoning Tieren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
15º
13º
35
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
MEI
1 - 0
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 4
CHA
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
BEI
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 4
SHA
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Liaoning Tieren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 2
QYI
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
QIN
2 - 0
SHE
72%
20%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 1
GFC
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
1 - 0
BIT
82%
12%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HUB
0 - 3
SHE
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |