Guangzhou FC vs Qingdao West Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
15º
13º
61
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
YAN
1 - 0
GUA
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
DTF
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 3
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
WWF
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
DUF
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Qingdao West Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HKF
1 - 1
QYI
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
QYI
2 - 0
SDO
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
QYI
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
QYI
1 - 1
JXF
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 2
QYI
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |