Guangzhou FC vs Qingdao West Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
5 - 0
QIN
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 5
GUA
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
HEN
70%
18%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
5 - 2
SHI
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SHE
2 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao West Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
QYI
4 - 0
XEI
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
DUF
1 - 3
QYI
23%
26%
52%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
QYI
1 - 1
SHA
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
GFC
2 - 2
QYI
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
MFC
0 - 0
QYI
16%
24%
61%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |