Guangzhou FC vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 7
RMA
16%
21%
63%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 1
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
5 - 0
SHA
78%
14%
7%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
DAL
1 - 3
GUA
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
CHE
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
QIN
3 - 1
HAN
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
JIA
3 - 1
QIN
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
QIN
2 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2011 |
QIN
0 - 1
GUI
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
TIT
1 - 1
QIN
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |