Guangzhou FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
GUA
25%
22%
53%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
BYM
6%
12%
83%
|
84 | 97 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALA
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
GUI
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MEL
4 - 3
ADE
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CCM
1 - 3
MEL
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
PER
1 - 1
MEL
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 5
SYD
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
WPH
5 - 0
MEL
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |