AFC Champions League Elite Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Guangzhou FC vs Kashima Antlers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHO
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BEI
1 - 3
GUA
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SHA
0 - 3
GUA
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUI
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 2
SHA
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kashima Antlers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
KAA
2 - 2
GAM
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
OIT
0 - 1
KAA
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
KAA
4 - 0
TOC
83%
14%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
KAA
2 - 1
FCY
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SHO
3 - 2
KAA
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |