Guangzhou FC vs Jiangsu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUI
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
TIT
0 - 1
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
HEN
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SHA
3 - 2
JIA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
JIA
1 - 0
GUI
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
TIT
2 - 1
JIA
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHA
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |