Guangzhou FC vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
SHA
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
JEO
1 - 5
GUA
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
TIT
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
HEN
0 - 4
SHA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIA
3 - 1
HEN
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 0
HEN
71%
18%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
HEN
2 - 3
CHE
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HEN
0 - 0
SHE
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |