Guangzhou FC vs Beijing Renhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
TIT
0 - 1
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
HEN
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 1
HAN
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
JIA
1 - 0
GUI
33%
30%
37%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
LIA
0 - 1
GUI
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 0
SHA
39%
28%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |