Guangzhou FC vs Beijing Renhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
SHE
1 - 1
GUA
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WUH
0 - 3
GUA
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 0
HAR
84%
12%
5%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
JIA
1 - 0
GUA
38%
28%
33%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 2
BIT
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Beijing Renhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
SHE
0 - 0
GUI
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
GUI
1 - 0
WUH
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SHA
0 - 0
GUI
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
WUH
2 - 1
GUI
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 0
HEN
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |