Guangzhou FC vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
TIT
0 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
CBC
2 - 0
GUA
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
HEN
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
2 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 4
GUA
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TIT
1 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CBC
3 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
BEI
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
XIR
0 - 1
GUA
3%
9%
88%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |