Guangzhou FC vs Chongqing Tonglianglong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
13º
2º
39
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
55.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 0
DUF
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HKF
1 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
1 - 3
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
YAN
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHO
32%
25%
44%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
QFC
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 0
CHO
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 0
CHO
35%
25%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |