Guangzhou FC vs Chengdu Blades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
HAN
1 - 3
GUA
37%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
JIA
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUI
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
TIT
0 - 1
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHA
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Blades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
HEN
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
HAN
1 - 1
CHE
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 4
LIA
47%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SHA
4 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |