Guangzhou FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 4
SHA
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
GUA
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
TIT
0 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
CBC
2 - 0
GUA
54%
23%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
BEI
3 - 0
CHA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
BEI
9%
20%
72%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
BEI
1 - 3
DAL
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 0
BEI
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |