FA Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Guangzhou FC vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 1
CHO
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
S04
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 2
GUA
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 3
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
JIA
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 0
TIT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
HEN
1 - 0
BEI
31%
29%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
HAN
1 - 3
BEI
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
BEI
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |