AFC Champions League Elite Final
Global 1-0
Guangzhou FC vs Al Ahli Dubai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AHD
0 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BEI
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHA
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 0
GUA
10%
16%
74%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TIT
0 - 2
GUA
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Dubai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
AHD
0 - 0
WAS
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AHD
0 - 0
GUA
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
2 - 1
DIB
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
WAH
1 - 3
AHD
32%
26%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
AHD
3 - 2
ALH
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |