Nantong Zhiyun vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
16º
16º
36
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 78 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
86.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
65% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SSP
1 - 3
GUA
10%
15%
75%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
SJF
35%
29%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEI
5 - 2
GUA
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHI
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HAN
5 - 2
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
TIT
17%
19%
64%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 3
SHA
19%
23%
59%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
QIN
3 - 1
TIT
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
TIT
1 - 1
SHA
19%
24%
57%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SHI
2 - 4
TIT
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |