Nantong Zhiyun vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
16º
16º
29
8º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
BEI
5 - 2
GUA
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
SHI
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HAN
5 - 2
GUA
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
QIN
2 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 1
SHA
16%
25%
59%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 0
SJF
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
SJF
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 2
QYI
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 6
SHA
13%
22%
65%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |