Nantong Zhiyun vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
75.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
16º
16º
37
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 0
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MEI
2 - 1
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CBC
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 2
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIT
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
QYI
0 - 4
SHA
17%
21%
62%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
QIN
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
6 - 0
SHA
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
SHA
12%
20%
68%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |