Nantong Zhiyun vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SIC
4 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
SHR
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LIJ
2 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 1
HBS
66%
21%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SDO
1 - 3
GUA
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HBF
1 - 2
JIA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SJF
0 - 0
HBF
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
HBF
1 - 1
SHP
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SHS
1 - 6
HBF
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HBF
2 - 0
ZHH
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |