Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1686%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
2º
36
9º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 17 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 16 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 15 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 15 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 13 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 12 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 12 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 11 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 11 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangxi Hengchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
JIA
53%
22%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
GUA
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
SHE
63%
18%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HSF
0 - 1
GUA
44%
22%
33%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
QYF
1 - 1
GUA
38%
23%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 2
SHA
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 0
NHC
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
NHC
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 0
XIR
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |