Guangxi Bushan vs Rizhao Yuqi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangxi Bushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
NPF
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Rizhao Yuqi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 1
RZY
73%
15%
12%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
RZY
0 - 1
TTF
12%
20%
69%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
RZY
1 - 1
SHA
45%
22%
33%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BIT
3 - 2
RZY
85%
10%
5%
|
6 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NHC
2 - 1
RZY
78%
15%
7%
|
6 | 53 | 47 | 0 |