Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
5º
4º
24
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SDO
1 - 3
GFC
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
0 - 0
NAN
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 0
DUF
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
YAN
2 - 2
GFC
37%
28%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
0 - 3
SJF
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JIA
3 - 1
SHE
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SDO
0 - 1
JIA
62%
23%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 2
SHA
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
JIA
2 - 3
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
HKF
1 - 1
JIA
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |