Guangdong vs Chongqing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guangdong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BIT
1 - 3
GUA
18%
25%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 2
YAN
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SHE
0 - 5
GUA
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 2
GUA
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chongqing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 2
HUB
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHO
66%
19%
14%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
HEN
22%
29%
49%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BIT
2 - 0
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |