Guanacasteca vs San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
11º
5º
26
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAP
18%
26%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 0
GUA
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRE
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |